Stronger past evidence

Yes. This pattern held up in the past examples we found.

Did high-strength Consumer Discretionary RISE observations hold up?

How often it worked
61.1%
55 worked · 35 did not
Past examples
90
56 different shares
Middle recorded result
+1.6%
The middle result, not an average
Show me how you worked it out
Evidence dates
21 Dec 2022 – 7 Aug 2026
Examples checked
129
Data version
bsp-evidence-2026-08-19
Test engine
tradour-lab-engine-v1

The likely range from this test runs from 50.8% to 70.5%. A wider range means more uncertainty.

  • This uses the recorded source-linked result, not a fully checked market-price return.
  • This is a look back at data Tradour had already seen, not a fresh test on new examples.
  • Some examples share the same company or market event, so they may not be fully independent.