Tradour explained
Exploratory means a pattern was observed while questions, cohorts or thresholds were still being examined. It is useful for forming hypotheses but already exposed to selection.
Make it click
A clue discovered after opening many drawers can guide the next investigation. It cannot be treated as if investigators predicted that exact drawer beforehand.
Now put that into markets
Tradour preserves exploratory results, samples and the wider search space. A candidate must be specified before cleaner testing.
Multiplicity, outcome exposure and method changes limit confirmatory weight. Negative exploration is retained because it explains the search.
Look for all groups checked, the chosen result measure and the limits. Use the result to state a fixed next question.
Exploratory does not mean false, but it does mean the apparent strength may include selection and chance. It is not a Playbook rule.
Takeaway
