Five Signals Pointing the Same Way
We tested ideas where five source signals all pointed the same way.
IdeaTestedLive
What this test checks
We tested ideas where five source signals all pointed the same way.
- Market moment
- Company earnings updates
- Evidence stage
- Exploratory historical test
- Outcome source
- Recorded source result, not a checked market-price return
What the past showedAcross 26 evaluated records: 20 held up · 6 did not · 0 had no clear move
It worked 77% of the time.
This is a look back at genuine recorded examples. It is a reason to run a fair live test, not a promise about what happens next.
- Clear-direction examples
- 26
- Tested
- 2023–2025
- Different shares
- 29
Show me how you worked it outSee every number, limit and recent example
- Worked
- 20
- Did not work
- 6
- Did not move
- 0
- Result not known
- 5
- Middle recorded result
- +1.9%
- Evidence dates
- 2 May 2023 – 3 Nov 2025
Based on this number of examples, the likely range runs from 58% to 89%. A wider range means we are less sure.
What we still need to learn
- This was one of many signal combinations we checked, so chance may have helped it stand out.
- More signals did not always mean a better result.
- The test used a small number of examples and has not yet been repeated on fresh ones.
Recorded examples
Shares in this test include BAC, BBY, BF.B, BWA, CB, CL, COP, CSGP, and others.
| Date | Share | Event | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2025 | IDXX | Before market opens | Fall | Did not work |
| 28 Jul 2025 | PFG | After market closes | Fall | Worked |
| 24 Jul 2025 | WAB | Before market opens | Fall | Worked |
| 18 Jul 2025 | TFC | Before market opens | Fall | Worked |
| 17 Jul 2025 | FITB | Before market opens | Fall | Worked |
| 16 Jul 2025 | BAC | Before market opens | Fall | Worked |
| 26 Jun 2025 | NKE | After market closes | Rise | Worked |
| 5 Jun 2025 | BF.B | Before market opens | Fall | Worked |
| 29 May 2025 | NTAP | After market closes | Fall | Worked |
| 29 May 2025 | DELL | After market closes | Fall | Worked |
| 25 Apr 2025 | CL | Before market opens | Fall | Did not work |
| 22 Apr 2025 | CB | After market closes | Fall | Worked |