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What Tradour Has Already Tested

Open our strongest, newest and retired studies to see which ideas held up, and which did not.

Good Ideas. Strong Evidence.Our most statistically promising ideas
Promising26 past examples

Five indicators at full R/D strength

How often did observations matching exactly five indicators and 100% R/D strength match the recorded follow-displayed rule?

  • Playbook
  • Indicators
  • R/D strength
Promising90 past examples

High-strength RISE observations

How often did Consumer Discretionary RISE observations with at least 90% R/D strength match their recorded direction?

  • RISE
  • 90%+ R/D
  • Consumer Discretionary
Promising165 past examples

RISE timing: BMO versus AMC

Within Consumer Discretionary RISE observations, how did BMO and AMC directional success rates compare?

  • RISE
  • BMO
  • AMC
Recently testedMost recently tested
No clear edge615 past examples

RISE versus DROP in Consumer Discretionary

Within the Consumer Discretionary rule, did RISE-labelled observations match their recorded direction more often than DROP-labelled ones?

  • BSP
  • Direction
  • Consumer Discretionary
Did not hold up615 past examples

Before-open versus after-close

Within the Consumer Discretionary rule, did BMO and AMC source labels have different recorded directional success rates?

  • Earnings
  • BMO
  • AMC
Promising26 past examples

Five indicators at full R/D strength

How often did observations matching exactly five indicators and 100% R/D strength match the recorded follow-displayed rule?

  • Playbook
  • Indicators
  • R/D strength
Nice Ideas. No Edge.Worthy of testing, but no reliable advantage found
Did not hold up615 past examples

Before-open versus after-close

Within the Consumer Discretionary rule, did BMO and AMC source labels have different recorded directional success rates?

  • Earnings
  • BMO
  • AMC
Did not hold up615 past examples

R/D strength and Consumer Discretionary outcomes

Within the Consumer Discretionary rule, how did recorded directional success vary across R/D strength bands?

  • R/D strength
  • Consumer Discretionary
  • Subgroups
Did not hold up615 past examples

Indicator count and historical outcomes

Within the Consumer Discretionary rule, how did directional success vary across source indicator-count bands?

  • Indicators
  • Consumer Discretionary
  • Subgroups

Want to learn more?

Deepen your knowledge with the articles below, or search anything.

Backtesting without time travelA backtest checks an idea on old data while respecting what could have been known at the time.Uncertainty is part of the resultUncertainty means the evidence cannot tell us exactly what will happen next.When is a pattern worth believing?A pattern seen twice may be luck. Seeing it many times gives you more reason to take it seriously.